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Gambling in a casino or online often presents the bettor with a chance to use a range of skills and strategies in a challenging and exciting environment. Roulette, while certainly a game of action and excitement, is one where strategy as it is normally understood doesn’t play a major role.
However, there are some steps you can take and theories you can incorporate when betting that will help make your roulette experience more enjoyable and, hopefully, lead to more money being shipped your way.
Roulette Strategy Myths
One of the running jokes in the gambling world is the idea of a “roulette system.” Roulette is one of the oldest casino games known to man, stretching back to 17th century France, and in that time thousands, if not millions, of people have tried to come up with a system that would shift the edge away from the house and to the player.
While there are systems that can improve one’s odds slightly, there is no specific system you can use to beat a roulette wheel. So if someone promises you a magical strategy that will lead to riches at the table, treat them with the same kind of skepticism you would reserve for an offer to join a Wall Street ponzi scheme.
Betting Systems
The few useful roulette systems don’t apply to how you pick your numbers, instead they are about where and when you place your bets and, most importantly, the size of those bets. As with most gambling strategies, roulette systems rely on probabilities. If you’re serious about playing roulette, and want it to be a game you stick with and enjoy over the course of time, don’t alter your strategy.
If you’ve chosen a reasonable system, it will work out for you as well as it can as long as you give it a real chance. When the inevitable run of a few bad nights does occur, instead of changing systems try color coordinating your clothes or picking up a lucky rabbit’s foot.
Martingale System
One of the most simple systems to use in roulette is also the one that requires the largest bankroll. It’s called the Martingale system, and it originated as a strategy for blackjack. Basically, all you have to do is double your bet after each loss. Theoretically, once you do hit, you will win enough to cover all previous bets.
The problem with the Martingale system is that it might take several spins of the wheel before you win, in which time you could lose your entire bankroll as you keep upping the bet. For that reason, if you decide to employ this strategy, make sure to start with the smallest bet allowed at the table and try to have as big a bankroll as possible when you start out.
The Martingale betting system starts over again with each winning bet.
Labouchere System
Labouchere is a progressive betting system, much like Martingale, but it doesn’t involve risking large sums as quickly. In theory, if a player using this system wins more than a third of their bets (18/38), they will come out ahead.
You start by writing down a series of numbers in a line and then use those as the basis for your bets, typically adding the numbers at either end of the line to determine the bet amount. After a win, the bettor crosses out the numbers they used and continues to proceed working off the shortened list. After a loss, the bettor adds the previous bet amount to the end of the line and proceeds.
The Labouchere system is based on setting your winning goal ahead of time. The system then divides your bets into different amounts based on whether you win or lose.
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D’Alembert System
The D’Alembert system was developed by the 18th century French theoretical mathematician Jean le Rond d’Alembert. It is a simple strategy that is designed to limit the amount of bets and losses.
Simply stated, with this system you add one “unit” – a pre-determined sum chosen based on the size of your bankroll – to your bets after a loss, and subtract one unit from your bets after each win.
The D’Alembert betting system adjusts the bet lower for every win and higher for every high loss.
Tracking the Wheel
The only roulette strategy that has ever been shown to work on a regular basis has been nullified by modern technology and casinos’ awareness of its use. Throughout the history of modern gambling, some players have been able to track certain roulette wheels and find out which quadrants the ball is most likely to land in.
This requires an older wheel where the pockets have worn down, creating deeper valleys where a wheel might settle more often, and days, if not weeks, of intense observation and recording of results. Since casinos have become aware of this possibility, roulette wheel manufacturers have solved many of the engineering issues that led to the problem in the first place, and pit bosses and croupiers now keep a closer eye on those wheels for the wear and tear that might lead to it happening.
At this point, tracking a wheel might put you in a better position to win, especially online where the past results of a table are much easier to access than they are at a live game. In that case, you can at least contemplate where the roulette ball seems to land most often.
Roulette Strategy as Entertainment
In the end, the best roulette strategy might just be picking your favorite numbers. At least that way, when you win you can credit some sort of preternatural understanding that only you possess.
Use your birthday, the dates of your wedding, your pant measurements (if they’re small enough) or any other number that feels lucky to you at the time. You can’t go wrong, since the actual picking of the numbers will have no strategic impact on the outcome of the game.
So, if you decide to spend your evening at the roulette table, remember that it should be all about having a good time, and when it comes to controlling your destiny in terms of winning and losing, it’s up to the gambling gods to smile down upon you. There’s not a whole lot you can do.
Winning at roulette doesn’t take a magic formula or a secret system. It’s purely a game of luck. So if you’re looking for a secret strategy or surefire way to win, you’ll probably be disappointed by the information on this page. On the other hand, if you’re interested in learning the real odds of winning and what you need to do in order to be a winner, you’ll be thrilled by the info on this page.
The Odds of Winning at Roulette
An America roulette wheel has 38 numbers on it—the numbers 1-36 (inclusive), a 0, and a 00. Calculating the odds of winning a bet on any single number is simplicity itself—you have one way to win out of 38 possible outcomes, which makes the odds of winning 37 to 1. This bet pays out at 35 to 1 odds.
Of course, the single number bet isn’t the only way to win at the roulette table. A plethora of betting options await the roulette player, in fact. These betting options have different odds of winning, but they also offer different payouts.
How To Win On Roulette
Another easy example of roulette odds are the even money bets. 18 of the numbers on the roulette wheel are red. 18 of them are black, and two of them, the 0 and the 00, are green. So if you bet on black (or red), then you have 18 ways to win and 20 ways to lose. Your odds of winning are slightly less than 50%. 18/38 is 47.36%. This bet pays out at even odds.
If you’re paying attention, you’ll notice that in both of these scenarios, your odds of winning are less than the payout odds. This is what gives the house an edge over the player. In the short run, anyone can walk away from the roulette table a winner. But in the long run, the house is always going to come out ahead.
So how do you become a winner at roulette?
The Maximum Boldness Strategy
Let’s assume that your goal is to just double your money. How do you maximize your chances of doing that?
The correct mathematical strategy is to make one bet of your entire bankroll, cross your fingers, and hope you get lucky. If you lose, you’re out of money, but if you win, then you’ve succeeded in your goal.
The maximum boldness strategy entails placing a single even money bet and hoping to get lucky. You’ll have a 47.36% chance of doubling your money.
Suppose, on the other hand, that you’re going to place two bets with half your bankroll. You’ll have to win both bets in order to double your money. What’s the likelihood of that happening?
That isn’t hard to calculate either. When you’re calculating the probability of two events happening, you multiple the probability of each event happening. So you would simply multiply 47.36% by 47.36%.
The result?
22.42%
Your chances of doubling your bankroll drop dramatically in that case, don’t they?
Suppose you divided your bankroll into four separate bets. Your chances of doubling your money would drop even further.
47.36% X 47.36% X 47.36% X 47.36% = 5.03%
So if your goal is to double your money, the best strategy is to place a single bet. The more bets you place on any negative expectation wager, the more likely the house edge is to catch up with you.
You might still walk away a winner in this situation, but it will be a smaller win. And you’ll be less likely to double your money.
What about Systems?
Roulette systems don’t work. Most of them involve increasing or decreasing your bet based on the outcome of your previous bet. The idea is that the odds of losing several bets in a row is smaller than the odds of losing a single bet, and vice versa.
The problem with this line of thinking is that you’re not placing a single wager on a series of bets. You’re placing multiple wagers on multiple events, and the odds of each event are independent of each other.
The house’s edge over the player doesn’t change based on the previous spin of the wheel. If you bet on black and lose, then the odds of black hitting on the next spin are still 47.36%. The probability doesn’t change because of what happened previously.
The most common of these bogus systems is the Martingale system, which requires you to double your bet every time you lose. The idea is that you’ll eventually win back your previous losses plus a single unit.
Here’s an example. Suppose you bet $5 on black and lose. On your next bet, you wager $10 on black. You lose again, so your next bet is $20. This time you win, so you’ve won back the $15 you lose on the first two bets, plus $5.
At first glance, this seems like a pretty good system. But it has two problems.
The first is that you’ll eventually hit a losing streak where your next bet will be too high for your bankroll. It only takes eight losing bets in a row to get to the point where you’ll need $1280 to place your next bet. (The progression looks like this: $5, $10, $20, $40, $80, $160, $320, $640, $1280.) And remember—you don’t just need $1280 for the last bet. You’ve already lost $1275 by this point in your betting progression.
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If you do win this $1280 bet, you’ll only be up $5, which means you’re making a large wager for a very small return.
The other problem is that even if you do have a sufficient bankroll to cover this kind of progression, all casinos have maximum bets. If you’re playing at a $5 roulette table, the maximum bet is probably $500 or $1000. So you’ll be unable to continue your progression.
You might be thinking, how often will I have a losing streak of eight in a row, though?
That answer is not often, but it will happen often enough to make sure that you’re not a long term winner at roulette.
So How Do You Win at Roulette?
In the short run, the only way to win at roulette is to get lucky and walk away. In the long run, the only way to win at roulette is to get even luckier and quit while you’re ahead. The more you play a negative expectation gambling game, the more likely you are to become a net loser.
Does this mean you shouldn’t play roulette?
That’s not our point at all. If you enjoy roulette, then play. Just don’t think you can make a living at it by using some mathematically bogus system or strategy. Earmark your roulette money as an entertainment expense. Then play as much as your bankroll allows until you’re no longer having fun.